Study Details

Study Title: An Empirical Bayes Model to Assess Deer-Vehicle Crash Safety in Urban Areas in Iowa

Authors: Baird et al.

Publication Date:JAN, 2011

Abstract: Deer-vehicle crashes are a growing problem in Iowa. In 2008, deer-vehicle crashes represented 12% of all crashes reported and included 9 fatalities and 442 injuries. These crashes are especially problematic in urban areas of Iowa, where the prevalence of deer-vehicle crashes is becoming a more visible issue. Quite a bit of research has been conducted on countermeasure action that could help mitigate deer-vehicle crashes. However, little previous work has attempted to model deer-vehicle crashes in urban areas using the two data sources available: deer carcass salvage reports and deer-vehicle crash reports. The objective of this paper is to assess the safety of roadway segments in three cities with long-running deer management programs using both deer-vehicle crash and deer carcass salvage data. The authors reconciled records to help eliminate double counting and estimated count data models to examine deer-vehicle crash frequency as a function of roadway and environmental factors. The count model estimates were used in an empirical Bayes model to predict deer-vehicle crashes in the select urban areas of Iowa. This model can be used to help allocate safety funds to implement appropriate deer-vehicle crash countermeasures in high-risk locations.

Study Citation: Baird, M., Gkritza, K., Souleyrette, R., and Danielson, B., "An Empirical Bayes Model to Assess Deer-Vehicle Crash Safety in Urban Areas in Iowa." Presented at the 90th Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., (2011).


CMFs Associated With This Study

Category: Roadside

Countermeasure: Presence of grass land use

CMF CRF(%)QualityCrash TypeCrash SeverityRoadway TypeArea Type
1.95-95.43 StarsAllAllPrincipal Arterial Other Freeways and ExpresswaysUrban

Category:Roadway

Countermeasure: Presence of two-lane roadway vs. greater than two-lane roadway

CMF CRF(%)QualityCrash TypeCrash SeverityRoadway TypeArea Type
0.4357.23 StarsAllAllPrincipal Arterial Other Freeways and ExpresswaysUrban

Category:Shoulder treatments

Countermeasure: Gravel right shoulder

CMF CRF(%)QualityCrash TypeCrash SeverityRoadway TypeArea Type
4.21-321.23 StarsAllAllPrincipal Arterial Other Freeways and ExpresswaysUrban

Category:Speed management

Countermeasure: Implement speed limit of 50 mph or greater

CMF CRF(%)QualityCrash TypeCrash SeverityRoadway TypeArea Type
2.27-1273 StarsAllAllPrincipal Arterial Other Freeways and ExpresswaysUrban